CRUDE OIL - A SHRINKING RESOURCE

CRUDE OIL, ENERGY, SHIPPING

Thursday, March 15, 2007

Bush turns green

After the PEAK OIL prices on 'Rambo frenzy' draw the first blood, we see the spotlight now shifting over to the alternate fuels specially the biofuels.

Recent visit of the US President to Latin America, if anything, is "U" turn in season, color and the spirits. His favourite number these days goes as follows:

Petro on Rock is no joy, not anymore.
Gotta mix a lil rum to give it some head.
Make it large, strong and sweet.
Gotta fix those heady guys of Middle East...

And his favourite one liner, "Plough, not dig."

Vast fertile land of Americas, will now be gearing up to produce feed stock for ethanol. Corn is soon to set ambiguity in an IQ test, with regards whether to be related to bread or car.

Opportunists have already started taking positions in related industries and establishments. Farm land prices have moved to the top gear.

It will take a while to realize the impact of the move, but 'love thy neighbour' politics is on. It, sure, will change image of President Bush to that of a 'Candy boy from West.'

cheers!!!

Friday, March 02, 2007

Oil to runout of gas

While talking of upstream its imperative that we take into account the downstream too, because the cause and solution may well be laying there.

Crude oil is raw material used by refineries to produce petro products. Over a long period there was little investment in building new refineries. Building new refineries is a long process and takes few years to complete. With sudden spate in demand for energy in recent years, supply became scares and there was a steep hike in fuel prices. And as is always the case, raw material producers and all others in the chain have their share, so does the crude.

OPEC has always blamed refining bottlenecks for the recent hike in Crude prices and rightly so. Many new refinery projects have been chalked recently and will start operating by 2010 giving a big boost to fuel supply by that time and thus bringing down the prices of all products., which in turn will pull down crude prices.

On the other hand green activists are doing their bit by campaigning for the development of alternate sources and fuel efficient machines, which would also ease off pressure on fossil fuel.

Markets overreact so that corrective action is taken quickly and normalcy is restored...

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